VOTAMATIC

Today, Civiqs is announcing the release of its public opinion Results Dashboard: an interactive website with data, charts, and tables from Civiqs’ daily polling of political attitudes all acros...

https://votamatic.org/announcing-the-launch-of-the-civiqs-results-dashboard/

Cross-posted at Daily Kos Elections Last week, just before Election Day, we published our final presidential election forecast: Hillary Clinton, 323 electoral votes; Donald Trump, 215. As I wrote...

https://votamatic.org/the-forecasts-were-wrong-trump-won-what-happened/

Cross-posted at Daily Kos Elections Over the course of this presidential campaign, Daily Kos Elections has logged 1,371 state-level presidential polls into our database. All signs point to a Hill...

https://votamatic.org/final-2016-presidential-forecast-clinton-323-trump-215/

Please head over to Daily Kos Elections, where you’ll find the implementation of my forecasting model this year. My forecasts are also part of the comparison table at The Upshot at the New York...

https://votamatic.org/looking-for-presidential-election-forecasts/

Cross-posted at Daily Kos Elections Even before news broke this weekend about Donald Trump’s 2005 Access Hollywood tapes, he had been receiving some extremely bleak polling numbers. As of toda...

https://votamatic.org/how-bad-is-it-for-donald-trump-lets-do-the-math/

Welcome to Votamatic for the 2016 presidential election campaign. For those new to the site, I originally launched Votamatic in 2012 to track and forecast the presidential election between Barack...

https://votamatic.org/forecasting-the-2016-elections/

This election season, I’ve been doing some work with the Daily Kos Elections team to track and forecast the midterm Senate and Gubernatorial elections. To see our predictions, click over to the...

https://votamatic.org/2014-senate-and-governor-forecasts/

Since June, I’ve been updating the site with election forecasts and estimates of state-level voter preferences based on a statistical model that combines historical election data with the resul...

https://votamatic.org/evaluating-the-forecasting-model/

The results are in: Obama wins all of his 2008 states, minus Indiana and North Carolina, for 332 electoral votes. This is exactly as I predicted on Tuesday morning – and as I’ve been predicti...

https://votamatic.org/final-result-obama-332-romney-206/

With the last set of polls factored into the model, my final prediction is Obama to win 332 electoral votes, with 206 for Romney. This is both the median and the modal outcome in my electoral vot...

https://votamatic.org/election-day-forecast-obama-332-romney-206/