In my last post I forecasted a Trump victory based on him retaining key swing states like Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin (although not Michigan). But reports of a surge in absentee/ma...
https://coolstatsblog.com/2020/09/16/on-absentee-mail-in-voting/
At the August meeting of the RBI, the Indian central bank kept the repo rate, its benchmark interest rate, unchanged. Around half of economists had expected a policy rate cut (India is in a pande...
Members of the Federal Open Market Committee, the body which decides the Fed’s interest rate policy, have their words closely scrutinized for hints about what the next policy change could be. A...
https://coolstatsblog.com/2020/06/23/tracking-fed-sentiment/
Following my recent post about the most referenced topic in FX commentary (in my case, excellent daily commentary from BNZ), I received a number of questions from readers about whether topic X wa...
https://coolstatsblog.com/2020/05/23/what-markets-are-focused-on-2/
An updated version of this chart for June 2020 was shared with subscribers of TLR Wire, the esteemed economics newsletter managed by Philippa Dunne and Doug Henwood. The financial sector produces...
https://coolstatsblog.com/2020/05/17/what-markets-are-focused-on/
The Federal Reserve (or “Fed”) is the central bank of the United States, in charge of setting interest rates, regulating banks, maintaining the stability of the financial system, and providin...
https://coolstatsblog.com/2020/04/30/the-feds-balance-sheet/
In my last post, I talked about how America had depressed oil prices by increasing its supply. Recall this graph which shows that the supply glut is primarily caused by increased American supply ...
https://coolstatsblog.com/2015/04/07/at-this-rate-oil-prices-will-have-to-rise/
This article was republished by the Significance, the official magazine of the American Statistical Association and Royal Statistical Society (UK). You have probably heard that the price of crude...
https://coolstatsblog.com/2015/04/06/why-oil-prices-came-down-and-wont-anymore/
South Koreans earn, on average, $33,140 per year (PPP), making them almost as rich as Britons. However, Koreans also work 30% more hours than Britons, making their per-hour wage considerably less...
On the 18th of September 2014, Scottish people will vote on secession from the United Kingdom, potentially ending a union that has existed since 1707. If Scots vote “Yes” to end the union, th...
https://coolstatsblog.com/2014/09/14/if-scotland-becomes-a-country/