Your model fit is terrible and you didn't explain anything? Oh here's the model, it's actually terrible as you can see from the plot but that's it? What the hell?
https://coolstatsblog.com/2013/08/19/forecasting-a-timeseries/comment-page-1/#comment-25207
secara otomatis akan mencari model yang memiliki nilai AIC (Akaike Information Critera) terkecil. AIC merupakan suatu pengukuran untuk melihat kebaikmodelan dan data yang bersifat parsimony. Ini...
https://coolstatsblog.com/2013/08/14/using-aic-to-test-arima-models-2/comment-page-1/#comment-24481
Great bloog I enjoyed reading
Hey, I wonder for this case: why not use the AMIMA(1,1,1) model? It seems that ARIMA(2,1,3) is only ~0.02% better in AIC , but has a way less interpretable result. Further the ACF of our TS is no...
https://coolstatsblog.com/2013/08/14/using-aic-to-test-arima-models-2/comment-page-1/#comment-24214
a single statistic. When comparing models, the one with the lowest AIC is generally “better” (Keshvani, 2013; Kourentzes, 2016). The AIC was observed and compared amongst the auto ARIMA mode...
https://coolstatsblog.com/2013/08/14/using-aic-to-test-arima-models-2/comment-page-1/#comment-23840
Hi Abbas, May I know how do you draw this graph (FED balance sheet) with python? (e.g. with what packages)
https://coolstatsblog.com/2020/04/30/the-feds-balance-sheet/comment-page-1/#comment-23759
Nice article. Something similar, Fed Beige Book sentiments are done by www.economyx.ai
https://coolstatsblog.com/2020/06/23/tracking-fed-sentiment/comment-page-1/#comment-23718
Using AIC to Test ARIMA Models
https://coolstatsblog.com/2013/08/14/using-aic-to-test-arima-models-2/comment-page-1/#comment-23474
my last post I called for a Trump victory based on him retaining key swing states like Florida, Ohio,
https://coolstatsblog.com/2020/09/08/the-2020-us-model/comment-page-1/#comment-23015
Sir, thank you for your work, right now the polling average for the national popular vote has Biden ahead 7 points. Do you suspect that this polling is incorrect now by several points? That it is...
https://coolstatsblog.com/2020/09/08/the-2020-us-model/comment-page-1/#comment-22993